Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 47.924945 55.118971 62.578311 70.855739 79.750411 88.989780 99.281467
2025-04-20 38.903564 49.293256 60.643905 73.821813 88.564611 104.426869 122.663263
2025-04-27 33.150869 45.265040 59.026027 75.519531 94.477261 115.340825 139.801346
2025-05-04 27.668245 40.691124 56.051617 75.010291 97.329702 122.374090 152.220648
2025-05-11 23.183056 36.703919 53.241484 74.213212 99.435393 128.217060 162.996602
2025-05-18 20.141938 34.142307 51.835736 74.805020 102.928939 135.467142 175.226883
2025-05-25 17.154336 31.290091 49.775844 74.345647 104.960786 140.851449 185.170414
2025-06-01 14.905915 29.182088 48.460203 74.634595 107.755909 147.029205 195.959975
2025-06-08 12.551959 26.638601 46.349179 73.725724 108.928229 151.157242 204.245481
2025-06-15 11.210162 25.448089 45.953280 74.944753 112.683950 158.353628 216.152061
2025-06-22 10.062721 24.422526 45.688546 76.262011 116.512324 165.608966 228.118560
2025-06-29 8.482877 22.487335 43.982328 75.530947 117.637643 169.488419 235.975100
2025-07-06 6.761391 20.072509 41.426009 73.544429 117.094829 171.304439 241.371899
2025-07-13 6.370197 20.019920 42.392924 76.435418 122.932888 181.095726 256.543735
2025-07-20 5.773523 19.490976 42.576047 78.190403 127.255584 188.983670 269.391850
2025-07-27 4.793568 18.039815 41.211456 77.667152 128.498132 192.955667 277.400438
2025-08-03 3.893703 16.574149 39.707210 76.853914 129.286867 196.307399 284.611705
2025-08-10 3.336655 15.759445 39.204977 77.458033 131.960538 202.046530 294.784767
2025-08-17 2.697209 14.595274 38.023439 76.989058 133.125004 205.820797 302.489998
2025-08-24 2.241765 13.781712 37.381007 77.284055 135.309787 210.894627 311.818495
2025-08-31 1.715276 12.596173 35.982005 76.356120 135.749435 213.672735 318.238399
2025-09-07 1.477506 12.208429 36.002125 77.600697 139.216941 220.398499 329.653852
2025-09-14 1.275441 11.874784 36.095616 78.945372 142.821087 227.307732 341.315252